Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
BPO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
BBU
1 - 0
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 1
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 0
BBU
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 0
SHE
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
ARS
3 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1948 |
MID
1 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1948 |
BUR
3 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |