Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 0
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
0 - 3
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |