Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIV
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
4 - 2
WBA
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
2 - 0
BUR
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |