Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 0
MAC
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1914 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
2 - 2
MAC
54%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
0 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
BUR
0 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1914 |
BUR
2 - 2
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |