Manchester City vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
BRI
5 - 1
NTT
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 0
BRI
60%
20%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
2 - 0
BRI
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
BRI
0 - 2
BRA
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRI
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |