Manchester City vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
MAC
5 - 2
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
EVE
6 - 3
MAC
58%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1908 |
PNE
2 - 1
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1908 |
SHW
2 - 0
BRI
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1908 |
BRI
3 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 1
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |