Manchester City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
1º
6
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
13.5% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 3
MAC
10%
16%
74%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 1
IPS
90%
8%
2%
|
100 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
14%
19%
68%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
81%
12%
7%
|
100 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
8%
|
100 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
3 - 1
SOU
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
BRE
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 1
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 4
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |