Manchester City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
4 - 1
FUL
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 4
MAC
2%
11%
87%
|
95 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
4 - 1
BRE
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
WOL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 3
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 0
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 1
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |