Manchester City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
LEE
2 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
MAC
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
CHL
2 - 2
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1937 |
MAC
1 - 3
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1937 |
PNE
2 - 2
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1937 |
BIR
0 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1937 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEE
65%
18%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1937 |
STO
3 - 0
BRE
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1937 |
BRE
0 - 2
WBA
62%
17%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1937 |
GRI
0 - 1
BRE
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |