Manchester City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.5%
9.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
PNE
4 - 0
MAC
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
BBU
4 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 2
STO
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
MAC
0 - 0
OPA
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
0 - 0
STO
44%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1935 |
OPA
1 - 3
BRE
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 2
SHW
27%
22%
51%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1935 |
WOL
3 - 2
BRE
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASV
40%
21%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |