Manchester City vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
MAC
2 - 3
NTT
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
CRE
1 - 0
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
MAC
2 - 0
MID
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
MAC
0 - 1
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1997 |
BRA
1 - 1
HUR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1997 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
60%
24%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
QPR
1 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
BRA
1 - 0
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
NTT
2 - 2
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |