Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 2
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
HUL
54%
25%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 0
SUN
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
WIG
0 - 0
BOL
38%
27%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |