Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
MAC
2 - 2
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
COV
0 - 3
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
STF
2 - 0
MAC
22%
25%
53%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
MAC
0 - 3
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
TOT
0 - 3
MAC
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
MID
1 - 1
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 0
MUD
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
IPS
3 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |