Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
MAC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
MAC
3 - 3
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
LIV
4 - 3
MAC
56%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
MAC
4 - 1
GRI
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
MID
3 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 2
BPO
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
DER
5 - 1
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 1
BBU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
BOL
3 - 1
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |