Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
CHL
2 - 0
MAC
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
MAC
4 - 2
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 2
MAC
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
SHW
1 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
2 - 2
SUN
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1930 |
SHE
2 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
DER
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1930 |
BBU
2 - 2
BOL
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |