Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 2
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
SHE
3 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1923 |
ASV
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
MAC
2 - 1
SHE
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 2
SHE
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1923 |
SHE
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
CAR
3 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
BOL
2 - 0
WHU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |