Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
MAC
6 - 1
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
BOL
2 - 0
WBA
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 1
BOL
46%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1921 |
BOL
1 - 2
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1921 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |