Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 1
OLD
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
3 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
MAC
3 - 3
SHE
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
0 - 1
SHE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |