Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
1 - 2
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 1
MAC
66%
19%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 2
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |