Manchester City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
OLD
4 - 1
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 6
ASV
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1911 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1911 |
PNE
1 - 2
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
BOL
2 - 1
OLD
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 5
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |