Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 2
MAC
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
WIG
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TOT
1 - 5
MAC
42%
26%
33%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 3
MAC
26%
26%
49%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 1
BIR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 3
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BIR
3 - 0
MIL
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
WAT
2 - 2
BIR
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BIR
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |