Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
SHW
3 - 2
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
5 - 1
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NTT
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
CHL
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
WHU
2 - 0
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 2
WAT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |