Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 4
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
3 - 1
WHU
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
MAC
0 - 1
BBU
63%
18%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
6 - 1
MAC
52%
20%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 2
BPO
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 4
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |