Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
CHA
3 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
3 - 2
PNE
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1948 |
WOL
2 - 2
BIR
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |