Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 2
SHW
54%
20%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
BIR
0 - 1
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1932 |
NEW
0 - 3
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
BIR
4 - 0
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
WHU
2 - 4
BIR
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
BIR
3 - 1
LIV
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |