Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
GRI
2 - 1
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 2
MID
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1932 |
WHU
1 - 1
MAC
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHW
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
5 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
3 - 0
MID
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
GRI
1 - 1
BIR
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |