Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 2
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
BBU
0 - 1
MAC
61%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
MAC
2 - 0
SUN
64%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARS
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
BIR
1 - 2
DER
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 1
BIR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 1
BIR
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BIR
0 - 1
LEE
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |