Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 3
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
BIR
4 - 3
MID
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 0
ASV
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |