Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
NTT
3 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1908 |
MAC
5 - 0
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
MAC
0 - 3
CHL
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 2
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
73%
15%
11%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
75%
14%
10%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 0
NTT
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
2 - 1
EVE
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |