Manchester City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
0 - 0
BBU
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
STO
3 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 1
BCF
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
0 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
5 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
3 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |