Manchester City vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 1
NOR
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 1
MAC
45%
25%
30%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 1
MAC
20%
24%
56%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 1
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
M05
3 - 2
BYM
12%
19%
70%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
BYM
3 - 1
VIL
72%
18%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BYM
0 - 1
BVB
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | +1 |