Manchester City vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 2
MAC
25%
25%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAC
4 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRA
32%
27%
40%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WRE
2 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
HUL
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |