Champions League Last 16
Global 1-4Manchester City vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAC
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
TOT
1 - 5
MAC
28%
25%
47%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 2
WAT
92%
7%
2%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FCB
6 - 0
RAY
92%
6%
2%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 1
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 4
FCB
13%
18%
69%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 3
VCF
88%
8%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |