Manchester City vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CRY
0 - 2
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
WOL
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
DZG
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 3
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
PNE
0 - 3
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LAZ
3 - 3
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEC
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 4
ATL
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |