Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1994 |
IPS
2 - 2
MAC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
OLD
0 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHE
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
MAC
0 - 1
WIM
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
QPR
1 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
1 - 2
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 1
IPS
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |