Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
WIM
2 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
MAC
4 - 0
LUT
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
SHE
4 - 2
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
ASV
1 - 0
OLD
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
SWI
1 - 2
ASV
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
WIM
2 - 0
ASV
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1992 |
DER
3 - 4
ASV
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |