Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 2
MAC
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
MAC
1 - 0
WAT
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
MAC
1 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 2
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
3 - 1
BJK
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
NTT
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
ASV
4 - 1
LUT
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
SOU
1 - 0
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
EVE
5 - 0
ASV
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |