Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
MAC
3 - 1
STO
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
LEI
2 - 1
MAC
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
MAC
2 - 2
WBA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1967 |
MAC
1 - 3
LEI
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 0
ASV
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 1
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
ASV
0 - 2
WHU
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
50%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |