Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
EVE
2 - 5
MAC
38%
23%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1958 |
NEW
4 - 1
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
73%
14%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAC
48%
21%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
60%
19%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
PNE
1 - 1
ASV
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
4 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
WBA
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |