Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
SUN
4 - 5
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1953 |
ASV
3 - 0
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1953 |
MAC
0 - 4
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
SHW
2 - 0
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1953 |
ASV
3 - 0
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1953 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASV
41%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1953 |
TOT
1 - 0
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1953 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |