Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1935 |
BBU
1 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
DER
1 - 2
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
28%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
MAC
6 - 2
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1935 |
MAC
6 - 3
LEI
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
ASV
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1935 |
EVE
2 - 2
ASV
63%
18%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1935 |
ASV
3 - 2
GRI
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1935 |
PNE
0 - 0
ASV
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1935 |
SUN
3 - 3
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |