Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
4 - 1
WOL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
ASV
5 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
EVE
3 - 3
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
ASV
6 - 2
BPO
78%
12%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
WBA
3 - 1
ASV
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |