Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
LIV
4 - 3
MAC
56%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
MAC
4 - 1
GRI
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
MID
3 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
MAC
3 - 0
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAC
56%
21%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
ASV
3 - 2
BIR
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
WBA
3 - 0
ASV
39%
23%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1931 |
ASV
5 - 1
BPO
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1931 |
ASV
2 - 3
EVE
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |