Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 3
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 2
LEI
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 1
HUR
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
0 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
WHU
5 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 1
SHE
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
ASV
3 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |