Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
BCF
1 - 2
MAC
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 1
SHE
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
CAR
1 - 3
MAC
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 1
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1929 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
ARS
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |