Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
2 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1926 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1926 |
HUR
5 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |