Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 4
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |