Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
ASV
5 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 2
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUR
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |