Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 1
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
MAC
0 - 0
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
SUN
0 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |