Manchester City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 1
OLD
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 3
WBA
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
0 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |